Chart Indicators

Simple moving averages of weekly closing prices over 50 and 200 weeks. The 50W is medium-term trend; the 200W is the secular trend.

Price above both SMAs = uptrend. Price below both = downtrend. The 50W crossing above the 200W ('golden cross') signals a major trend change. We weight trend heavily because it tells you whether the market agrees with your thesis.

Green lines on the price chart. You want the price candles above both lines, with the 50W sloping upward. A rising 50W slope above 0.5% per week signals strong momentum.

Two bands drawn 2 standard deviations above and below a 20-period moving average. They expand when volatility is high and contract when it's low.

A contracting band ('compression') means the market is coiling — a big move is coming. Price touching the upper band shows strength; touching the lower band shows weakness. We use compression score as a key setup quality signal.

Shaded area around the price. Narrow bands = compression = potential breakout setup. Wide bands = extended volatility, chasing risk.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence — the difference between a 12-period and 26-period EMA, with a 9-period signal line. The histogram shows the gap between them.

MACD crossing above its signal line = momentum turning bullish. 'Bullish and improving' means the histogram is growing — buyers are accelerating. 'Bullish but flattening' means momentum is stalling. We penalize flattening MACD even in uptrends because it often precedes a pullback.

Second panel below price. Rising blue line above orange signal line = bullish. Growing green histogram bars = strengthening. Watch for divergence: price makes a new high but MACD doesn't — that's a warning.

Weekly trading volume compared to the 20-week average. Shows whether institutional money is participating in the price move.

Price moving up on above-average volume = accumulation — real conviction. Price moving up on thin volume = weak hands, vulnerable to reversal. We call >1.1x 'above-average participation' and <0.7x 'thin participation'. Thin volume on extension is a red flag.

Third panel. The horizontal line marks the 20W average. Bars above the line on up weeks = healthy. Bars below on up weeks = skeptical market.

RSI applied to the RSI — a faster, more sensitive oscillator ranging 0–100. Measures momentum exhaustion and reversal potential.

Above 80 = overbought (momentum extended, pullback risk). Below 20 = oversold (momentum exhausted, bounce potential). 'Overbought rolling over' is a sell signal; 'oversold turn up' is a buy signal. We use it heavily in timing scores — a great chart in overbought territory scores lower because entry risk is higher.

Bottom panel. Purple line = K (fast). Pink line = D (signal). Watch for the K crossing the D from below in oversold territory — that's a timing entry signal. Sustained above 80 without rollover = strong momentum, not necessarily a sell.

Horizontal levels drawn at 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6% of a prior move, based on the Fibonacci sequence. Markets tend to find support and resistance at these levels.

When a stock pulls back 38–61% of its prior rally and holds, it's often a high-probability entry. We use Fibonacci zone to classify setups: 'deep retracement / value zone' (61.8%+) = contrarian entry; 'upper retracement / momentum zone' (23.6–38.2%) = trend continuation; 'near 52W high / extension' = chasing.

Dotted horizontal lines on the price chart. The zone label (e.g. 'upper retracement / momentum zone') in each ETF card tells you where price sits relative to its most recent significant move.

Price levels where the market has repeatedly reversed. Support = floor where buyers have stepped in. Resistance = ceiling where sellers have appeared.

These are your invalidation levels. If support breaks, the thesis is wrong. If price clears resistance on volume, it's a breakout confirmation. We show them in every ETF card because position sizing should be based on distance to support, not gut feel.

Green 'Support' level and red 'Resistance' level in each ETF card. The 'Dist 50W' metric tells you how far price is from its 50-week average — high distance means high extension risk.